Tin — Supply structure report
Production and refining by country, the processing chokepoint, export-control status, and which producers can actually sell to a third party rather than consuming their own feed.
At a glance
- Largest producer
- China 24%
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026
- Top 3 producers
- 57%
- share of world output
- Concentration (HHI)
- 1,426
- unconcentrated
- Producing countries
- 15
- 3 supply half
- Export measures
- 1
- USGS compilation, Jan 2026
- US import reliance
- 77%
- net, 2025 (USGS)
Key findings
What the evidence shows
World production and the largest producer
The USGS puts world production at 290,000 t Sn. China is the largest producer with 24% of the total.
How concentrated supply is
The Herfindahl-Hirschman index over country shares is 1,426 (unconcentrated). The top three producers hold 57%; 3 countries supply half.
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Create a free accountThe rest is in the full report
5 sections with numbered sources: Supply structure: mine production by country; Processing and refining: where the value and the leverage sit; Merchant availability: which producers can sell to a third party and more.
Full analysis and cited sources
Supply structure: mine production by country
World tin mine production ran at roughly 290,000 tonnes of contained metal in 2025, fractionally below the previous year[1]. That total is small by the standards of the base metals, and it is unusually badly distributed: five jurisdictions account for the large majority of it, and two of the five are among the least predictable mining jurisdictions in the world.
China remains the largest producer at an estimated 71,000 tonnes, flat year on year, on reserves of about 1,200,000 tonnes[1]. Indonesia recovered to roughly 61,000 tonnes from 55,000 tonnes as enforcement pressure eased, and holds the largest declared reserve base at about 1,400,000 tonnes[1]. Peru contributed some 33,000 tonnes, almost all of it from a single operation, on a reserve base of only about 150,000 tonnes[1]. Brazil produced roughly 28,000 tonnes[1].
The two entries that carry the risk are the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Myanmar. The DRC produced an estimated 27,000 tonnes, concentrated on one deposit, against declared reserves of only about 91,000 tonnes[1]. Myanmar fell some 40 percent to around 12,000 tonnes[1]. Together the two represent close to a fifth of world supply, and both operate under licensing regimes that can be altered without notice[1].
Elsewhere the picture is one of managed decline or small scale. Bolivian output fell roughly 29 percent to about 15,000 tonnes[1]. Australia produced around 12,000 tonnes from a single Tasmanian operation[1]. Rwanda contributed an estimated 4,600 tonnes and Nigeria an estimated 3,500 tonnes, both overwhelmingly from artisanal and small-scale workings[1].
The full report also opens these tools:
Change grade, recovery and costs to test a flowsheet.
Typical off-spec deductions for deleterious elements (As, Bi, Sb, etc.).
Model cargo financing, letters of credit and landed cost.
Primary overland rail, transshipment port pairs, and ocean freight routing.
What’s in the full report
5 sections · approximately 981 more words
- 01Supply structure: mine production by country
- 02Processing and refining: where the value and the leverage sit
- 03Merchant availability: which producers can sell to a third party
- 04Export controls and trade measures in force
- 05What would have to change for the structure to change
Executive Briefing & Strategic FAQ
Essential empirical supply-chain and geopolitical questions for market participants and intelligence analysts.
Which countries dominate global mining and refining for Tin?▼
Global Tin production is characterized by high geographical concentration in both raw extraction and chemical processing, as documented in MiningBridge's empirical supply-chain models.
What are the critical supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical risks for Tin?▼
Key geopolitical and operational risks include export licensing constraints, high chemical conversion barriers, and long lead times for developing non-concentrated commercial refining capacity.
What are the primary commercial uses for Tin, and can it be substituted?▼
Tin is essential across energy transition, advanced electronics, and defense systems. While direct substitutes exist in select low-performance applications, replacing Tin in mission-critical hardware incurs significant metallurgical and cost trade-offs.
