← Reports/Lead — Structural brief
Sources: U.S. Geological Survey, Federal Register — Interior Department, Ocean Energy Management Bureau · Updated 2 Sept 2026

How the supply chain for this commodity is shaped: where it is mined, where it is processed, and which step is the bottleneck.

At a glance

Largest producer
China 42%
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026
Top 3 producers
64%
share of world output
Concentration (HHI)
2,210
moderately concentrated
Producing countries
13
2 supply half
Export measures
1
USGS compilation, Jan 2026
US import reliance
33%
net, 2025 (USGS)

Key findings

What the evidence shows

Every figure from a named public source

World production and the largest producer

The USGS puts world production at 4,500 thousand metric tons. China is the largest producer with 42% of the total.

4,500 thousand metric tons
World production
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026

How concentrated supply is

The Herfindahl-Hirschman index over country shares is 2,210 (moderately concentrated). The top three producers hold 64%; 2 countries supply half.

2,210
HHI
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026; index bands from the US merger guidelines

Export measures in force

1 measure bears on this mineral: Vietnam.

1
Measures
USGS compilation of export controls, effective January 2026

United States import reliance

The United States relied on net imports for 33% of its use in 2025; main sources: Canada, Republic of Korea, Ireland.

33%
Net import reliance
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026

In this report

The questions it answers

Supply

Who produces it

Share of world mine production · USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026
China42.4%
Other producers11.2%
Australia10.7%
Peru6.5%
United States6.3%
Russia5.8%
India4.9%
Mexico4.5%
Concentration index (HHI): 2,210moderately concentrated
01,5002,50010,000

Below 1,500 is read as unconcentrated and above 2,500 as highly concentrated (US merger-review bands, used as a reference point).

Trade

Export measures in force

USGS compilation of export controls, effective January 2026
CountryMeasure
VietnamVietnam maintains an export ban covering Raw materials of iron, lead-zinc, chromite, manganese, apatite, and rare earths and deeply processed titanium (2012), as compiled by the USGS from official and reported sources effective January 2026.
FULL REPORT

Full analysis and cited sources

694 words · full access

Where lead is produced

China is the largest producer of lead, at 42.4 percent of the published world total in 2025[1]. It is followed by Australia at 10.7 percent, Peru at 6.5 percent and United States at 6.3 percent. The USGS puts world production at 4,500 thousand metric tons; the sum of the country figures is 4,480 thousand metric tons, the difference being rounding in the published total.[1] Reserves are held principally by Australia (34,000 thousand metric tons), China (22,000 thousand metric tons), Russia (8,900 thousand metric tons)[1]. The largest reserve holder is not the largest producer, which is the usual sign that the constraint is capital and permitting rather than geology.

How concentrated supply is

Measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman index over production shares, lead supply is moderately concentrated, with an index of 2,210. The top three producers hold 64.3 percent of output, and 2 producers together account for half of supply. An index below 1,500 is conventionally read as unconcentrated and above 2,500 as highly concentrated; the thresholds are the United States merger-review bands, used here as a published reference point rather than as a judgement about market conduct. The United States was 33 percent reliant on net imports for lead in 2025, with the principal import sources over 2021–24 being Canada, Republic of Korea, Ireland.[2] The principal sources of United States imports over 2021–24 were Canada (31 percent), Republic of Korea (16 percent) and Mexico (15 percent)[3].

Trade measures in force

The USGS compilation of export controls effective January 2026 records one measure bearing on lead. Vietnam maintains an export ban covering Raw materials of iron, lead-zinc, chromite, manganese, apatite, and rare earths and deeply processed titanium (2012), as compiled by the USGS from official and reported sources effective January 2026.[4] A control listed here removes the tonnage concerned from the international market by law, whatever the production table implies about availability.

Recent United States official notices

Federal Register documents naming lead, most recent first. 2026-06-23: Commercial Leasing for Outer Continental Shelf Minerals Offshore the Commonwealth of Virginia-Request for Information and Interest. On November 13, 2025, the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) received an unsolicited request to lease hard minerals (herein "minerals") in an area on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) offshore the Commonwealth of Virginia. After reviewing the request, BOEM decided to initiate the first step that could potentially lead to a lease sale by publishing this request for information and interest (RFI).[5] 2026-01-29: Commercial Leasing for Outer Continental Shelf Minerals Offshore Alaska-Request for Information and Interest. The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) is initiating the first steps that could potentially lead to a lease sale for minerals on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) offshore Alaska by publishing this request for information and interest (RFI). This RFI is not a final decision to lease and does not prejudge any future Secretarial decisions concerning leasing on the OCS offshore Alaska.[6] 2025-11-12: Commercial Leasing for Outer Continental Shelf Minerals Offshore the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands-Request for Information and Interest. The Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) is initiating the first steps that could potentially lead to a lease sale for minerals on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) offshore the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) by publishing this request for information and interest (RFI). This RFI is not a final decision to lease and does not prejudge any future Secretarial decisions concerning leasing on the OCS offshore the CNMI.[7]

Processing model

Lead Beneficiation & Cash Flow Simulator

An illustrative model built on typical published cost ranges. Change feed grade and throughput to see how the margin moves.

Open in Workbench →

The model runs in the Workbench: register free to run it 3 times a day.

Contractual Penalty Schedule & Deleterious Limits

Standard commercial deduction guidelines enforced by off-taker smelters and converters for non-compliant impurity concentrations:

Bismuth Bi > 0.05% incurs high desilver/debismuthizing reagent penalty ($65/t); Antimony Sb > 0.5% penalized; Arsenic As > 0.2% penalized.
Trade Desk Execution

Model Cargo Financing, CIF Arbitrage & Letter of Credit

Test physical maritime shipments, demurrage risk, hedging spreads, and working capital cash turns in the Trade Desk.

Launch in Trade Desk→

Executive Briefing & Strategic FAQ

Essential empirical supply-chain and geopolitical questions for market participants and intelligence analysts.

3 Key Q&As
Which countries dominate global mining and refining for Lead?▼

Global Lead production is characterized by high geographical concentration in both raw extraction and chemical processing, as documented in MiningBridge's empirical supply-chain models.

What are the critical supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical risks for Lead?▼

Key geopolitical and operational risks include export licensing constraints, high chemical conversion barriers, and long lead times for developing non-concentrated commercial refining capacity.

What are the primary commercial uses for Lead, and can it be substituted?▼

Lead is essential across energy transition, advanced electronics, and defense systems. While direct substitutes exist in select low-performance applications, replacing Lead in mission-critical hardware incurs significant metallurgical and cost trade-offs.