Indium — Full commodity dossier
Adds scenario modelling for supply disruption, a five-year demand outlook, price-formation mechanics, and a mapped availability picture of merchant supply by producer archetype.
At a glance
- Largest producer
- China 70%
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026
- Top 3 producers
- 92%
- share of world output
- Concentration (HHI)
- 5,181
- highly concentrated
- Producing countries
- 8
- 1 supply half
- Export measures
- 1
- USGS compilation, Jan 2026
- US import reliance
- 100%
- net, 2025 (USGS)
Key findings
What the evidence shows
World production and the largest producer
The USGS puts world production at 1,100 metric tons. China is the largest producer with 70% of the total.
How concentrated supply is
The Herfindahl-Hirschman index over country shares is 5,181 (highly concentrated). The top three producers hold 92%; 1 country supplies half.
The full report is part of Professional
The full report is written from public sources, and every figure in it is numbered to its source.
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See plansThe rest is in the full report
8 sections with numbered sources: Supply structure and processing chokepoints; Trade-flow forensics and revealed dependency; Ore genesis, mineralogy and CRIRSCO classification standards and more.
Full analysis and cited sources
Supply structure and processing chokepoints
Primary mine production of indium is distributed across 8 tracked producer jurisdictions in the baseline model, representing a global output of 1,091 metric tons. The production base is led by China, which accounts for 760 metric tons or 69.7 percent of world output. The top three producing jurisdictions—China (69.7 percent), Republic of Korea (16.5 percent), and Japan (6.0 percent)—collectively govern 92.1 percent of aggregate primary extraction.
Market concentration across primary extraction scores 5,181 points on the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), positioning primary indium mining within the highly concentrated category. On standard antitrust and procurement vulnerability thresholds, an HHI exceeding 2,500 indicates acute structural concentration, where production decisions, fiscal adjustments, or local disruptions in the leading jurisdiction directly impact global supply availability.
Identified sovereign reserve reporting for indium highlights that commercial extraction remains constrained to high-grade metallogenic provinces where infrastructure and processing capacity are established. Expanding the extraction perimeter requires multi-year lead times to advance prospective resources through feasibility and environmental impact assessments.
Downstream conversion of raw ore or unrefined concentrate into refined specification product represents the principal point of commercial leverage. While mining output defines the physical volume ceiling, the chemical conversion stage—smelting, hydrometallurgical leaching, solvent extraction separation, and cathode electrowinning—is historically more concentrated than extraction itself. Commercial consumers requiring high-purity feedstocks must manage counterparty and operational exposure at the refining stage rather than at the pithead.
The full report also opens these tools:
Change grade, recovery and costs to test a flowsheet.
Typical off-spec deductions for deleterious elements (As, Bi, Sb, etc.).
Model cargo financing, letters of credit and landed cost.
Primary overland rail, transshipment port pairs, and ocean freight routing.
What’s in the full report
8 sections · approximately 1,841 more words
- 01Supply structure and processing chokepoints
- 02Trade-flow forensics and revealed dependency
- 03Ore genesis, mineralogy and CRIRSCO classification standards
- 04Flowsheet beneficiation chemistry and hydrometallurgical kinetics
- 05Smelter deleterious impurity penalties and commercial TC/RC terms
- 06Policy, sanctions and export-control exposure by jurisdiction
- 07Multimodal logistics corridors and maritime chokepoints
- 08Unit margin waterfall and working capital
Executive Briefing & Strategic FAQ
Essential empirical supply-chain and geopolitical questions for market participants and intelligence analysts.
Which countries dominate global mining and refining for Indium?▼
Global Indium production is characterized by high geographical concentration in both raw extraction and chemical processing, as documented in MiningBridge's empirical supply-chain models.
What are the critical supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical risks for Indium?▼
Key geopolitical and operational risks include export licensing constraints, high chemical conversion barriers, and long lead times for developing non-concentrated commercial refining capacity.
What are the primary commercial uses for Indium, and can it be substituted?▼
Indium is essential across energy transition, advanced electronics, and defense systems. While direct substitutes exist in select low-performance applications, replacing Indium in mission-critical hardware incurs significant metallurgical and cost trade-offs.
